Pricing Hypothesis v0

A paid waitlist for the language buddy — get the first cash + 10 design partners, with the downside capped on purpose.

4 min
On this page
  1. The bet
  2. Landing page copy
  3. The cost reality
  4. Why the loss is bounded
  5. The Founders Pass
  6. Regular pricing
  7. What we rejected
  8. What to fix later

The bet

Two products. A Founders Pass — one subsidized year for 10 power users, to get cash + design partners — and a recurring monthly that's the real business and funds usage at steady state.

Trade-off: a subsidized first year, capped at 10 people

Founders Pass 10 spots

$99 / first year
  • 1 year early access
  • Unlimited beta use
  • Private Discord
  • Direct founder support
  • Help shape the product
  • Founder pricing after year 1

Trade-off: reasonable price now, tune margin later

Standard at launch

$20 / mo
  • The full product, one simple plan
  • Free tier underneath: cheap model + hard cap
  • Fair-use cap + cost tuning come later, with real data
The one-line version. 10 people pay $99 for a year of unlimited beta use (fair use) + private Discord + direct founder support. Everyone else pays $20/mo, with a free tier as the funnel. The first year is a deliberate, capped loss-leader — after it, founders convert to founder pricing.

Landing page copy

Ship-ready — this is the exact block to hand off. locked

$99 Founders Pass

10 spots only

Claim your spot — $99 7 of 10 spots left

Fine print: unlimited use is subject to fair use — we may step in on genuine abuse. Founder pricing applies after the first year.

Keep "Unlimited beta use" as the visible bullet (clean, punchy); the fair-use caveat lives only in the fine print. The spots counter should reflect real signups.

The cost reality

This is the fact that drove every decision: an active user is expensive. ~$10 of inference burned in a few days of light testing → a realistic floor of $15–30/mo per active user.

That kills the obvious move. Healthy software wants cost to be ~25% of price — at a $15–20 floor that implies a $50–70/mo sticker. That's personal-trainer pricing, not Duolingo pricing. So you can't have all three at once:

Reasonable price Uncapped power use Positive margin pick two

Tiering and caps are how you escape the triangle later. For now, the free tier and the 10-person cap do the bounding.

Why the loss is bounded

Be honest about it: $99 for a year of unlimited use is below cost. A power user runs ~$180–360/yr, so you're subsidizing each founder by roughly $80–260. That's fine — it's a deliberate loss-leader, bounded three ways:

The real business model is the recurring $20/mo below — that's what funds usage at steady state. The Founders Pass just buys you 10 design partners and your first cash.

The Founders Pass

$99 upfront buys one year, unlimited, for 10 people. Here's the actual exposure for the year:

LinePer founderAll 10
Upfront (1 year)$99$990
Est. cost to serve (unlimited, 1 yr)~$180–360~$1.8k–3.6k
Net for year one~‑$80 to ‑$260~‑$0.8k to ‑$2.6k
Bounded by1 year10 spots, then standard pricing
Scarcity on the landing page. Show a live "X of 10 spots left" counter. The cap is real — your time + the subsidy — so the urgency is honest, not a fake countdown.

Regular pricing

Acquisition funnel — must be a rounding error

Free

$0
  • Cheap / small model
  • Hard usage cap
  • Job: get people in the door cheaply

Reasonable now, re-price with real data

Paid

$20 / mo
  • One simple plan
  • Good model, generous use
  • Fair-use cap added later if power users bite

$20/mo is a starting number, not a verdict. At zero users you can't price precisely — lock it, watch real usage and cost, adjust at launch.

What we rejected

OptionWhy not
$1–5 refundable depositToo weak — filters for almost no real intent.
Lifetime unlimitedSells your best users too cheaply forever while inference costs scale. The classic trap.
Locked $/mo for lifePermanent below-cost liability. Time-box the founder deal to one year instead.
Cheap subscription only ($7–10/mo)Below the cost floor — loses money on every active user.
Tiers / credits / metered billingPremature at zero users. Real problem to solve after there's usage data.
100 founder spotsCan't honestly be on-call 24/7 for 100 people — the perk becomes a lie.

What to fix later

Deliberately deferred — don't build these now, just know they're coming:

The waitlist's only job right now: prove someone will pay at all, and put 10 real users on your personal line. Everything else is a problem you want to have.